Week 11 Playoff Scenarios and Odds

Published: Nov 28, 2021

After 11 weeks the playoff picture is still has a lot of uncertainty.  The only team that has clinched a spot so far is the Norsemen, who have clinched thier third division title in the last four seasons.  No teams have been mathmatically eliminated yet.

Only one spot could be clinched this week, as the MeggaMen will secure their division with a win or tie or if both the Testudos Revenge and British Bulldogs lose or tie.  All of the other spots will have to wait at least one more week.

Clinch Scenarios

Burgundy Division

  • Norsemen have clinched the division
Gold Division
  • Gallic Warriors would be eliminated from division with L or T and Trump Molests Collies W or T
White Division
  • MeggaMen clinch with W or T or both Testudos Revenge and British Bulldogs L or T
  • Testudos Revenge would be eliminated from division with a L or T or MeggaMen W or T
  • British Bulldogs would be eliminated from division with a L or T or MeggaMen W or T
  • Sacks on the Beach have been eliminated from division title
Wild Card
  • Amish Electricians would be eliminated from playoffs with a L or T or Sean Taylor's Ashes W or T
  • Sacks on the Beach would be eliminated from playoffs with a L and Sean Taylor's Ashes W
  • Gallic Warriors would be eliminated from playoffs with a L and Sean Taylor's Ashes W or T

Playoff Odds

Burgundy Division

Team Division
Odds
Playoff
Odds
Championship
Odds
Norsemen 100% 100% 42.0%
Sean Taylor's Ashes - 51.1% 8.8%
Richard's Lionhearts - 4.9% 0.6%
Amish Electricians - <0.1% <0.1%

Gold Division

Team Division
Odds
Playoff
Odds
Championship
Odds
Trump Molests Collies 51.5% 59.4% 10.0%
Crusaders 36.8% 41.4% 7.3%
Fighting Squirrels 6.8% 8.5% 1.0%
Gallic Warriors 4.9% 5.5% 0.5%

White Division

Team Division
Odds
Playoff
Odds
Championship
Odds
MeggaMen 93.5% 96.1% 21.4%
Testudos Revenge 3.5% 24.8% 6.9%
British Bulldogs 3.0% 8.1% 1.3%
Sacks on the Beach - 0.3% 0.1%

Toilet Bowl

Team Odds
Amish Electricians 84.3%
Sacks on the Beach 47.2%
Gallic Warriors 31.8%
Fighting Squirrels 12.0%
British Bulldogs 9.4%
Richard's Lionhearts 6.9%
Crusaders 6.0%
Testudos Revenge 1.8%
Trump Molests Collies 0.3%
Sean Taylor's Ashes 0.2%
MeggaMen -
Norsemen -

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