Final Week Postseason Scenarios

Published: Dec 11, 2021

The big game of week 13 featured Sean Taylor's Ashes and Testudos Revenge.  This game was basically an elimnation game.  Sean Taylor's Ashes ran a two TE set and it paid off.  They got 29 out of George Kittle (TE-SF).  Then another 29 from Tom Brady (QB-TB).  Winning the game 57-34 and eliminating Testudos Revenge.

With that win it opened up the possibility that the STA could get earn the wild card early.  Richard Lionheart's took on the Sacks on the Beach, needing a win to remain in contention.  The SOB won by a 36-8 score to eliminate Richard.  The Crusaders also needed a win and came up short against the Gallic Warriors, 49-37.  This eliminated the Crusaders.  The Gallic Warriors were eliminated when the STA and Testudos didn't end in a tie.

With the Crusaders losing and the STA winning, the pressure was on the British Bulldogs.  They were playing the MeggaMen, whom they haven't beaten in the last 6 meetings.  This week made it 7, as the MeggaMen won 57-17 and eliminated the Bulldogs.

This combination eliminated the Fighting Squirrels from the wild card, but they still had a shot at the division.  They easily defeated the Norsemen, 44-5.  That along with the Amish Electricians 19-11 victory over Trump Molests Collies leaves the Squirrels still in contention for the Gold Division

The playoff race definitely did not play out the way I expected.  Just a couple of weeks ago it looked like the Toilet Bowl was more or less wrapped up, with three teams vying for two spots, and the wild card race looked like it would be a brutal fight to the end.  But after week 13, most of the wild card contenders gave up their shot, allowing Sean Taylor's Ashes to secure their first back-to-back playoff appearances in 18 years.  Meanwhile, there are still six teams that could end up in the Toilet Bowl.  Five of the six games this week could impact the Toilet Bowl teams.  The Fighting Squirrels could end up anywhere from winning the division to in the Toilet Bowl.  There is also a chance that we end with only two teams having records better than .500.

Playoff Scenarios

#1 Seed

  • MeggaMen - earn top seed with a win or tie or Norsemen loss or tie
  • Norsemen - earn top seed with a win and MeggaMen loss
Gold Division
  • Trump Molests Collies - wins divison with a win or tie or Fighting Squirrels lose or tie
  • Fighting Squirrels - wins division with a win and TMC loss
Toilet Bowl
  • Sacks On the Beach - will be in the Toilet Bowl with a Loss
    • OR a Tie and any of 
      • Amish Electricians Win or Tie
      • Crusaders Win
      • Gallic Warriors Lose and Crusaders Tie
    • OR Amish Electricians Win and Richard's Lionhearts Win or Tie
    • OR Crusaders Win and Gallic Warriors Lose or Tie
  • Crusaders - will be in the Toilet Bowl with a Loss
    • OR a Tie and Gallic Warriors Win or Tie
  • Amish Electricians - will be in the Toilet Bowl either
    • Loss and either of 
      • Sacks on the Beach Win or Tie
      • Crusaders Win and Gallic Warriors Win or Tie
    • Tie and Richard's Lionhearts Win or Tie and either of
      • Sacks on the Beach Win
      • Crusaders Win and Gallic Warriors Win or Tie
  • Richard's Lionhearts - will be in the Toilet Bowl with Loss and Sacks on the Beach Win and Amish Electricians Win or Tie
  • Fighting Squirrels - will be in the Toilet Bowl with a Loss, a Gallic Warriors Win or Tie, a Sacks on the Beach Loss or Tie and either of
    • Amish Electricians Win and Richard Lionhearts Win or Tie
    • Amish Electricians Tie and Richard Lionhearts Lose 
  • Gallic Warriors - will be in the Toilet Bowl with a Loss, Crusaders Win or Tie and either:
    • Amish Electricians Win or Tie
    • Sacks on the Beach don't Tie

Playoff Odds

Burgundy Division

Team Division
Odds
Playoff
Odds
Championship
Odds
Norsemen 100% 100% 35.6%
Sean Taylor's Ashes - 100% 18.8%
Richard's Lionhearts - - -
Amish Electricians - - -

Gold Division

Team Division
Odds
Playoff
Odds
Championship
Odds
Trump Molests Collies 83.8% 83.8% 14.6%
Fighting Squirrels 16.2% 16.2% 2.2%
Gallic Warriors - - -
Crusaders - - -

White Division

Team Division
Odds
Playoff
Odds
Championship
Odds
MeggaMen 100% 100% 28.8%
Testudos Revenge - - -
British Bulldogs - - -
Sacks on the Beach - - -

Toilet Bowl

Team

Odds
Sacks on the Beach 66.4%
Amish Electricians 45.8%
Crusaders 42.3%
Gallic Warriors 24.4%
Richard's Lionhearts 14.3%
Fighting Squirrels 6.7%

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